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12/25/16

#16- 25 Years Prediction


Predicting what's to come isn't simple. Now and again PC World has been spot on. At different circumstances, we've missed it by a mile. Here are three forecasts we made that were shockingly perceptive - and three where we may have been a bit excessively idealistic.
1983 What we said: "The mouse will luxuriate in the PC world spotlight... Like the joystick before it, however, the mouse will blur some time or another into recognition."
We hit that one out of the recreation center. Mice are commonplace to the point that they're for all intents and purposes dispensable.



1984 What we said: "Microsoft Windows ought to lastingly affect the whole PC industry."

"Enduring" was putting it mildly. Windows has now amassed for Microsoft add up to incomes in the many billions of dollars and is so universal and compelling that it has been never-endingly entangled in some claim, more often than not including charges of imposing business model or of trademark and patent encroachments.

1988 What we said:"In the future you'll have this little box containing every one of your documents and projects... It's reasonable that in the long run individuals will dependably convey their information with them."

1987 What we said: "When you walk into an office in 1998, the PC will sense your presence, switch itself on, and promptly deliver your overnight e-mail, sorted in order of importance."

When we arrive in our office, the computer ignores us, slowly delivers the overnight e-mail, and puts all the spam on top.

1994 What we said: "Within five years... batteries that last a year, like watch batteries today, will power [PDAs]."

Perhaps our biggest whiff of all time. Not only do these superbatteries not exist (nor are they even remotely in sight), but PDAs are pretty much dead too.

2000 What we said: We wrote about future "computers that pay attention to you, sensing where you are, what you're doing, and even what your vital signs are... Products incorporating this kind of technology...could hit the market within a year."